When Can KOSDAQ Recover After the Samsung-SK Hynix Crowding? It Needs Sideways Megacaps, Not a Collapse

This note reframes the KOSDAQ recovery question. The trigger is not a collapse in Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, but a phase where strong memory earnings remain intact while the two megacaps stop absorbing all market flow. The realistic window is mid-July to early August, after Micron's June 24 earnings, Samsung Electronics' Q2 preliminary result expectations, and SK hynix's Q2 expectations are absorbed. The first landing zone is likely KOSDAQ semiconductor test, equipment and metrology, not broad biotech or unprofitable growth.