Macro Dashboard — 2026-05-18
| Indicator | Level | 5-Day Δ | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| KOSPI | 7,516.0 | −1.7% | Neutral |
| KOSDAQ | 1,111.1 | −5.8% | Weak |
| VIX | 19.2 | +6.6% | Stable |
| US 10Y | 4.59% | +19 bps | Rising |
| DXY | 99.2 | +0.8% | Strengthening |
| USD/KRW | 1,502 | +1.8% | KRW under pressure |
| Brent | $111.2 | +5.2% | Elevated |
Regime verdict: Korea Neutral / US Bear. The KR-US divergence is the key read — breadth in Korea is narrow (50MA participation: 33.7%, 200MA: 46.3%), but the market has not broken down. US deterioration is the larger structural concern. Rate and oil pressure remain the primary macro headwinds.
Market Wrap
Monday’s session had a split personality. The KOSPI printed near flat (+0.13% intraday at 14:25) while the KOSDAQ dropped −2.18% — a 230 basis-point gap between large-cap and small-cap Korea that tells you most of the story. This was not a broad rally. It was a large-cap semiconductor session carrying a structurally weak market.
Samsung Electronics (005930.KS) surged +3.88% to ₩281,000, absorbing news of a potential 18-day union strike starting May 21. Markets interpreted the court’s production-protection ruling as containing the downside risk, and the move looked more like an oversold bounce than a fundamental re-rating. The caveat: foreign investors sold a net ₩1.24 trillion in the stock — one of the largest single-day outflows in recent weeks. Domestic institutions absorbed it.
Sector rotation was narrow and deliberate. The winning themes were: semiconductors (Memory, HBM), CPO/photonics, power infrastructure/energy equipment, and select insurance names. Everything else — machinery, transportation equipment, construction, consumer/retail, and KOSDAQ high-beta — was offered. The breadth signal from the operating screener confirmed this: 76 names passed, 22 new additions, but underlying participation was thin.
The AI infrastructure narrative continues to provide a thematic tailwind. News flow around Amazon, Microsoft, and Google increasing conventional server procurement in Q2, combined with LS Electric’s ~₩4 trillion supply contract, kept power/grid-adjacent names in focus. This is consistent with the screener results showing semiconductors and electronics components dominating the quality-overlap list.
Flow summary: Samsung Electronics dominated foreign outflows. Daedeok Electronics (353200.KS) was the cleanest combination of price strength (+3.39% on the day, +11.61% over five days) and coordinated foreign plus institutional buying. Semiconductor equipment names with strong RS percentiles (95+) drew both institutional and foreign interest in a market that otherwise saw diffuse selling.
The KOSDAQ weakness was broad-based and not isolated to any single sector. High-beta names with weak fundamentals were sold indiscriminately. This is characteristic of a risk-off session dressed up as a flat tape — the headline index was calm, the underlying market was not.
Today’s Quality Re-Rating Candidates
The KR Meta Screener flagged 117 tickers today, with 20 surfacing in the top table. The screener intersection summary identifies 8 stocks with 3+ overlap across the five core frameworks. Meta score leads the ranking; overlap count confirms signal density.
Top Candidates — Screener Overlap Table
| Meta Rank | Ticker | Name | Meta Score | Overlap | Screeners Hit | Key Metrics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 053610.KQ | Protec | 95.5 | 4 | QC · SMQ · CR · SME + Consensus Up | ROE 13.7%, OP YoY +245%, margin Δ +12.2pp |
| 2 | 089970.KQ | VM | 87.6 | 4 | QC · SMQ · CR · SME | ROE 14.7%, OP YoY +387%, margin Δ +29.3pp |
| 3 | 482630.KQ | Samyang NCKEM | 70.0 | 3 | QC · SMQ · SME | ROE 14.7%, OP YoY +65%, IR event today |
| 4 | 095610.KQ | TES | 68.3 | 3 | QC · SMQ · SME | ROE 14.5%, OP YoY +50%, F+QI +₩51.9bn 5D |
| 5 | 187870.KQ | Device | 66.7 | 3 | QC · CR · PEAD | ROE 11.1%, OP YoY +312%, margin Δ +11.7pp |
| 6 | 000660.KS | SK Hynix | 58.9 | 2 | QC · CR + Consensus Up | ROE 35.6%, OP YoY +101%, margin Δ +13.1pp |
| 7 | 322000.KS | HD Hyundai Energy Solutions | 56.4 | 3 | SMQ · CR · SME | F+QI +₩40.4bn 5D, margin Δ +7.5pp |
| 8 | 353200.KS | Daedeok Electronics | 52.5 | 3 | SMQ · CR · SME | RS 98.1, OP YoY +336%, +3.39% today |
| 9 | 147830.KQ | Jeryong Industrial | 53.5 | 2 | QC · CR | ROE 13.9%, OP YoY +159%, margin Δ +13.9pp |
| 10 | 089890.KQ | Koses | 52.6 | 2 | QC · CR + DART catalyst | ROE 17.8%, OP YoY +410%, supply contract filing |
QC = Quality Compounder · SMQ = Smart Money Quality · CR = Cycle Rerating · SME = Smart Money Earnings
Deep Dive: Top 3 Names
Protec (053610.KQ) — Meta Rank #1, Score 95.5
Protec makes specialized semiconductor packaging and bonding equipment — it sits in the supply chain that enables advanced chip assembly. Today it hits all five screener dimensions simultaneously: it clears the Quality Compounder filter (ROE 13.7%, operating margin expanding +12.2 percentage points year-over-year), smart money is buying (net foreign + qualified institutional inflow of +₩6.7 billion over five days), the cycle re-rating signal is live (OP YoY +244.5%, operating leverage spread 209%), and consensus estimates are being revised upward. That combination — a profitable, low-debt business where institutions are accumulating and analysts are chasing numbers higher — is exactly what the editorial framework looks for. Recent DART filings are regulatory/neutral (large shareholder report, a prior capital reduction completion). No risk-flag public disclosures.
VM (089970.KQ) — Meta Rank #2, Score 87.6
VM is another semiconductor process equipment maker, but with notably more explosive operating leverage: revenue doubled (+105.5% YoY), operating income grew +387%, and operating margin expanded +29.3 percentage points. The Smart Money Quality screener ranks it #1 in the entire universe today — meaning it leads on the combined quality-plus-flow filter. Five-day net foreign and qualified-institutional inflow of +₩9.85 billion confirms that institutional money has been entering, not exiting. The only reason VM ranks second to Protec in the meta order is Protec’s additional Consensus Up Revision signal and slightly stronger absolute quality score. Both names warrant watching together. The latest DART filing is a routine Q1 2026 quarterly report (neutral).
Samyang NCKEM (482630.KQ) — Meta Rank #3, Score 70.0
Samyang NCKEM is a specialty chemicals producer (photoresists and process chemicals for semiconductor manufacturing). It passes the Quality Compounder filter (ROE 14.7%, OP YoY +64.5%) and shows strong institutional buying signals on the Smart Money screeners, though the five-day net flow is marginally negative (−₩1.1 billion). The notable timing factor: today’s DART filings include an IR event disclosure — the company held an investor relations briefing on May 18, which is a catalyst-positive signal for near-term price discovery. The quality foundation is sound; the question is whether the IR event converts into sustained institutional positioning. Worth monitoring after the meeting follow-through.
Caution flags to note: TES (095610.KQ) carries elevated short interest (11.5% of float) alongside its strong screener signals — the net foreign and institutional buying is real, but program trading and financial-sector selling create distribution risk. SK Hynix (000660.KS), despite outstanding fundamentals (ROE 35.6%, consensus revisions moving up), saw net foreign plus qualified-institutional selling of −₩12.1 trillion over the past five days, a significant headwind that the meta screener correctly penalizes with a risk flag. The screener flagged it as a candidate for the quality-plus-cycle angle, but flow confirmation is absent at the moment.
The clearest money-in-motion story across all frameworks today is semiconductor equipment — Protec, VM, TES, and Koses (089890.KQ) all surface through the same lens. The market is early in re-pricing domestic equipment makers that benefit from HBM and advanced packaging capex, and today’s price and flow data suggest that re-pricing is active, not speculative.